~~~ LAZY MACRO ~~~

3-YEAR EXPECTED ANNUAL INFLATION: *** 3.300% ***
- 5YBE: 2.31% (8d EMA)
- 5YBE% hist: [2.35, 2.36, 2.34, 2.32, 2.3, 2.3, 2.3, 2.31]
- 2Y: 3.8% (8d EMA)
- 2Y% hist: [3.94, 3.94, 3.92, 3.88, 3.82, 3.78, 3.74, 3.73]

BOND YIELDS:
- 3M: 4.41%
- 2Y: 3.72%
- 5Y: 3.79%
- 10Y: 4.24%
- 30Y: 4.78% (25-06-30)
- 30Y Mortgage: 6.77% (25-06-26)

INVESTMENT HURDLE RATE: *** 7.540% ***
- (3-year expected inflation) + (10-year treasury bond yield)
- "Short-term is less than three years."

COMMODITIES:

Gold: $3316.80 / Silver: $36.33 / Bitcoin: $107287.70
Platinum: $1370.40 / Palladium: $1117.50 / Copper: $5.11
Aluminum: $2549.50 / Lumber: $626.00 / Sugar: $16.19
Corn: $425.50 / Wheat: $526.75 / Soybeans: $1027.00
Brent Crude: $66.62 / NatGas: $3.46 / Gasoline: $2.07

EQUITIES:

SPY: $617.85 / QQQ: $551.64 / DIA: $440.65
IWM: $215.79 / VEA: $57.01 / VWO: $49.46
VTI: $303.93 / SLYV: $79.76 / CTA: $26.74

~~~

Last updated: 2025-06-30 22:30:26 UTC

Source: https://github.com/84adam/lazy-macro

Questions or suggestions? Contact: info [at] xau [dot] ag