~~~ LAZY MACRO ~~~

3-YEAR EXPECTED ANNUAL INFLATION: *** 3.180% ***
- 5YBE: 2.43% (8d EMA)
- 5YBE% hist: [2.47, 2.46, 2.44, 2.42, 2.43, 2.42, 2.41, 2.42]
- 2Y: 3.55% (8d EMA)
- 2Y% hist: [3.63, 3.62, 3.61, 3.56, 3.52, 3.53, 3.54, 3.53]

BOND YIELDS:
- 3M: 4.08%
- 2Y: 3.56%
- 5Y: 3.63%
- 10Y: 4.06%
- 30Y: 4.68% (25-09-12)
- 30Y Mortgage: 6.35% (25-09-11)

INVESTMENT HURDLE RATE: *** 7.240% ***
- (3-year expected inflation) + (10-year treasury bond yield)
- "Short-term is less than three years."

COMMODITIES:

Gold: $3703.20 / Silver: $42.90 / Bitcoin: $114692.90
Platinum: $1414.70 / Palladium: $1207.50 / Copper: $4.71
Aluminum: $2623.50 / Lumber: $588.00 / Sugar: $16.81
Corn: $424.50 / Wheat: $517.25 / Soybeans: $1045.50
Brent Crude: $67.41 / NatGas: $2.99 / Gasoline: $2.01

EQUITIES:

SPY: $660.35 / QQQ: $590.34 / DIA: $459.27
IWM: $239.34 / VEA: $60.20 / VWO: $53.83
VTI: $325.72 / SLYV: $88.77 / CTA: $27.66

~~~

Last updated: 2025-09-15 15:30:31 UTC

Source: https://github.com/84adam/lazy-macro

Questions or suggestions? Contact: info [at] xau [dot] ag